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LastOrder and its macro model - general info

LastOrder (github) now has a 15-page academic paper out, Macro action selection with deep reinforcement learning in StarCraft by 6 authors including Sijia Xu as lead author. The paper does not go into great detail, but it reveals new information. It also uses a lot of technical terms without explanation, so it may be hard to follow if you don’t have the background. Also see my recent post how LastOrder played for a concrete look at its games.

I want to break my discussion into 2 parts. Today I’ll go over general information, tomorrow I’ll work through technical stuff, the network input and output and training and so on.

The name LastOrder turns out to be an ingenious reference to the character Last Order from the A Certain Magical Index fictional universe, the final clone sister. The machine learning process produces a long string of similar models which go into combat for experimental purposes, and you keep the last one. Good name!

LastOrder divides its work into 2 halves, “macro” handled by the machine learning model and “micro” handled by the rule-based code derived from Overkill. It’s a broad distinction; in Steamhammer’s 4-level abstraction terms, I would say that “macro” more or less covers strategy and operations, while “micro” covers tactics and micro. The macro model has a set of actions to build stuff, research tech, and expand to a new base, and a set of 18 attack actions which call for 3 different types of attack in each of 5 different places plus 3 “add army” actions which apparently assign units to the 3 types of attack. (The paper says 17 though it lists 18. It looks as though the mutalisk add army action is unused, maybe because mutas are added automatically.) There is also an action to do nothing.

The paper includes a table on the last page, results of a test tournament where each of the 28 AIIDE 2017 participants played 303 games against LastOrder. We get to see how LastOrder scored its advertised 83% win rate: #2 PurpleWave and #3 Iron (rankings from AIIDE 2017) won nearly all games, no doubt overwhelming the rule-based part of LastOrder so that the macro model could not help. Next Microwave scored just under 50%, XIMP scored about 32%, and all others performed worse, including #1 ZZZKBot at 1.64% win rate—9 bots scored under 2%. When LastOrder’s micro part is good enough, the macro part is highly effective.

In AIIDE 2018, #13 LastOrder scored 49%, ranking in the top half. The paper has a brief discussion on page 10. LastOrder was rolled by top finishers because the micro part could not keep up with #9 Iron and above (according to me) or #8 McRave and above (according to the authors, who know things I don’t). Learning can’t help if you’re too burned to learn. LastOrder was also put down by terrans Ecgberht and WillyT, whose play styles are not represented in the 2017 training group, which has only 4 terrans (one of which is Iron that LastOrder cannot touch).

In the discussion of future work (a mandatory part of an academic paper; the work is required to be unending), they talk briefly about how to fix the weaknesses that showed in AIIDE 2018. They mention improving the rule-based part and learning unit-level micro to address the too-burned-to-learn problem, and self-play training to address the limitations of the training opponents. Self-play is the right idea in principle, but it’s not easy. You have to play all 3 races and support all the behaviors you might face, and that’s only the starting point before making it work.

I’d like to suggest another simple idea for future work: Train each matchup separately. You lose generalization, but how much do production and attack decisions generalize between matchups? I could be wrong, but I think not much. Instead, a zerg player could train 3 models, ZvT ZvP and ZvZ, each of which takes fewer inputs and is solving an easier problem. A disadvantage is that protoss becomes relatively more difficult if you allow for mind control.

LastOrder has skills that I did not see in the games I watched. There is code for them, at least; whether it can carry out the skills successfully is a separate question. It can use hydralisks and lurkers. Most interestingly, it knows how to drop. The macro model includes an action to research drop (UpgradeOverlordLoad), an action to assign units and presumably load up for a drop (AirDropAddArmy), and actions to carry out drops in different places (AttackAirDropStart for the enemy starting base, AttackAirDropNatural, AttackAirDropOther1, AttackAirDropOther2, AttackAirDropOther3). The code to carry out drops is AirdropTactic.cpp; it seems to expect to drop either all zerglings, all hydralisks, or all lurkers, no mixed unit types. Does LastOrder use these skills at all? If anybody can point out a game, I’m interested.

Learning to when to make hydras and lurkers should not be too hard. If LastOrder rarely or never uses hydras, it must be because it found another plan more effective—in games you make hydras first and then get the upgrades, so it’s easy to figure out. If it doesn’t use lurkers, maybe they didn’t help, or maybe it didn’t have any hydras around to morph after it tried researching the upgrade, because hydras were seen as useless. But still, it’s only 2 steps, it should be doable. Learning to drop is not as easy, though. To earn a reward, the agent has to select the upgrade action, the load action, and the drop action in order, each at a time when it makes sense. Doing only part of the sequence sets you back, and so does doing the whole sequence if you leave too much time between the steps, or drop straight into the enemy army, or make any severe mistake. You have to carry through accurately to get the payoff. It should be learnable, but it may take a long time and trainloads of data. I would be tempted to explicitly represent dependencies like this in some way or another, to tell the model up front the required order of events.

AIIDE 2018 - how CherryPi played

Overall, the play of the AIIDE 2018 CherryPi version looks similar to last year’s CherryPi which is still playing on SSCAIT. It still has the devastating ling micro, and it still prefers to win games with a flood of low-level units. It still gets melee +1 attack even when +1 carapace seems better. (Do CherryPi’s micro skills make +1 attack better, and if so, how?) Mutalisk micro looks very similar to Tscmoo’s, with mutas individually cautious and clever and collectively lazy and uncoordinated. It can use lurkers, guardians, and ultralisks. I didn’t see defilers, even when they would have been useful.

CherryPi scouts extremely aggressively with its first 2 overlords. They stick near the enemy base and try to poke into every corner, even if the enemy is terran and can shoot them down early. It gets a clear view, which must be useful for its build order switcher. The drawback is that the overlords often die young.

I think this CherryPi looks beatable. It doesn’t have SAIDA’s wide knowledge of action and reaction. It doesn’t have Steamhammer’s knowledge of how to react to LastOrder’s excessive static defense (but usually wins anyway with a zergling flood). It sometimes ignores undefended enemy bases, preferring to attack into the enemy’s strength—or even to wait idly. Game 31245 versus Iron shows it sticking with gas units and failing at macro; it forgot its love of zerglings. It doesn’t know whether it is ahead or behind, and it doesn’t realize that when it is maxed and owns the map, it ought to attack regardless of losses. It’s strong and tricky, but it also makes mistakes. I think next year’s version had better be improved if they don’t want to be overtaken.

Here are the names of the build orders that CherryPi recorded itself as playing in its opponent learning files. One of CherryPi’s major advertised features is a learned build order switcher that can switch to a new build order on the fly. It recorded 103 build order wins/losses for each opponent (except a couple with fewer), and 103 rounds were played, so these appear to be opening build orders only rather than all build orders tried throughout each game. Presumably the openings reflect CherryPi’s intentions when it started the game. It may not have followed the initial build order to its end.

  • 10hatchling
  • 2hatchmuta
  • 3basepoollings
  • 9poolspeedlingmuta
  • hydracheese
  • zve9poolspeed
  • zvp10hatch
  • zvp3hatchhydra
  • zvp6hatchhydra
  • zvpohydras
  • zvpomutas
  • zvt2baseguardian
  • zvt2baseultra
  • zvt3hatchlurker
  • zvtmacro
  • zvz12poolhydras
  • zvz9gas10pool
  • zvz9poolspeed
  • zvzoverpool

CherryPi tried between 1 and 4 openings against each opponent. CherryPi sometimes switched away from its initial try even if it won all games (for example, against CDBot and Hellbot), so I’m not sure what the switching criterion is. But opponents that it tried 4 openings against are all ones that gave it a touch of trouble.

grep -c key *.json

AILien.json:1
Aiur.json:1
Arrakhammer.json:1
BlueBlueSky.json:3
CDBot.json:2
CSE.json:4
CUNYBot.json:1
DaQin.json:1
Ecgberht.json:1
Hellbot.json:2
ISAMind.json:2
Iron.json:1
KillAll.json:2
LastOrder.json:3
LetaBot.json:4
Locutus.json:4
McRave.json:4
MetaBot.json:1
Microwave.json:3
SAIDA.json:4
Steamhammer.json:4
Tyr.json:1
UAlbertaBot.json:2
WillyT.json:1
Ximp.json:2
ZZZKBot.json:4

The other machine learning feature advertised for CherryPi is a building placer. It was trained against human building placements and apparently takes into account some of the bot’s intentions. I recommend against training on human play (or at least exclusively on human play), because machines play differently. Teaching a bot to blindly imitate human decisions that it doesn’t understand will lead to mistakes. It’s worse than teaching a human to imitate without understanding, because the bot won’t figure things out on its own. Nevertheless, CherryPi’s building placement does seem cleaner than other bots. To me the building placement looks simple and logical, but not sophisticated like a strong human player’s. Here’s an example from a ZvZ game, game 1755. The sunken colony does not interfere with gas mining, and it is somewhat protected from zergling surrounds by the geyser, the spawning pool, and the lair itself, while remaining open for drone drills on the drone side. The spire is curiously far away; I would have fit it into the gap next to the sunken. It looks OK but a little loose, not quite optimized. (By the way, game 14742 against the same opponent has the same building layout, except that the spire is placed close.)

ZvZ building placement in game 1755

CherryPi has gained new tactical tricks. I mentioned the burrow trick where it burrows zerglings at expansion locations. So far, I haven’t seen a game where the opponent was ready for the trick; I imagine it contributed to a lot of wins, even though CherryPi sometimes researches burrow and then never uses it. (And I’m disappointed. I thought of using this trick in Steamhammer, and didn’t because I expected that bots which knew how to clear spider mines would also know how to clear burrowed zerglings. I think I was wrong!) As far as I’ve seen, CherryPi doesn’t use burrow for any other purpose (though I wouldn’t be surprised, since there are so many). CherryPi also does zergling runbys; an example is game 1406 versus SAIDA where CherryPi played an unusual and not entirely efficient gas-first 3 hatch zergling build.

CherryPi doesn’t have as many complex skills as SAIDA, but it has a good number. I doubt I saw everything it can do.

Steamhammer 2.1.1 status

Posts take time, but I am also making progress on Steamhammer. The next version will have no big features, so I’ll call it version 2.1.1. Big stuff has to wait until next year, after the tournament season. I found a second serious bug in defiler control, and now defilers consistently move to where they are wanted. It helps them swarm and plague more actively, though they still don’t do as much work as I would like. So far, 2.1.1 development version keeps track of burrowed units accurately, recognizes enemy proxies better, wards off the enemy scout worker more reliably, and has some improved macro decisions and emergency reactions, a new opening (of course), and a variety of other fixes.

There are a bunch of debilitating bugs in squad control and micro. For upcoming work, I have my eyes on 2 bugs in particular that I think cause the most frequent setbacks (rather than the most glaring blunders), the suicide pokes and the stuck units. If I get those fixed in time, I have a priority list of more stuff. If I succeed, Steamhammer will play better in nearly every game, which should show in the SSCAIT round robin phase.

note on CherryPi

I’ve been watching CherryPi’s AIIDE games. No conclusions yet, but I noticed that CherryPi likes to research burrow (not the first bot to do so) and burrow scouting lings at expansions to watch for the enemy (I think it’s the first to do that). SAIDA appeared unready for the trick. When an SCV showed up, CherryPi did not unburrow the ling, but sent another to prevent the expansion.

AIIDE 2018 - how LastOrder played

The new bot #13 LastOrder is related to the classic Overkill by Sijia Xu, but uses a machine learning model to make certain decisions: According to the description, “all the production of unit (excluding overlord), building, upgrade, tech and trigger of attack.” The learning is entirely offline; LastOrder does not store information about its opponents between games. Tactical and micro decisions, and I think building placement, are decided by rule-based code. One survey answer says,

we train the proposed macro model against about 20 AIIDE 2017 bots on a 1000 machines cluster scheduled by Tournament manager. the final model achieve about 83% win rate on all AIIDE 2017 bots

Against the stronger AIIDE 2018 bots, LastOrder scored about 49%, good enough to land in the top half of the ranking. I think the 83% win rate is too high for LastOrder’s underlying strength; I suspect that it overfitted to its 20 opponents. I think it learned to recognize some of its training opponents by their play style, and when it sees similar signs from different bots that play differently, it reacts incorrectly to a game plan that the different bot does not follow.

I watched a bunch of games to see what kind of play LastOrder figured out for itself. LastOrder’s units are mutalisks and zerglings, sometimes with scourge; I did not see it make other units (though Overkill has hydralisk skills that it might have chosen). LastOrder’s game plan is to open safely with 9 pool, sit back for a while, watch the opponent, lay down massive static defenses when danger seems to loom, macro up lots of drones, zerglings, and mutalisks behind its ramparts, and eventually burst into action and overwhelm the opponent. Details vary, but the overall game plan seemed consistent in all the games I watched.

It’s not an objectively strong game plan, but it seems effective against many bots. LastOrder had trouble touching stronger bots, upsetting only Steamhammer, and was itself upset by Ecgberht and WillyT, which as terrans had no difficulty steamrolling static defenses. But it scored highly against most lower-ranked opponents, including LetaBot (which may have been on its panel of 20 with little change).

Game 39, LastOrder-Steamhammer (replay file), was a good example of the game plan. LastOrder countered zergling with zergling for a while, then seemed to grow bored and made 4 sunkens to hide behind—far more than necessary or useful. A little later, it seemed to predict Steamhammer’s spire timing, adding excessive spores too. Steamhammer understands in principle how to react: It makes extra drones and gets ahead in both army and economy. Steamhammer could not safely attack the heavy defenses, but it could prevent LastOrder from expanding beyond its natural and win slowly. Sure enough, LastOrder tried to expand to a third, Steamhammer caught it and sent the entire army to erase the attempt—and LastOrder exploited the play, which was strategically correct but tactically wrong, hitting Steamhammer’s natural while its forces were out of position. Steamhammer’s tactical analysis is minimal; it doesn’t realize that it should destroy the expansion attempt with a small detachment.

Game 33041, LastOrder-Tyr (replay file), is one of the games that makes me suspect that LastOrder overfitted. Watch what happens after 7:00. LastOrder scouts Tyr’s turtle cannons with a zergling. LastOrder immediately reacts by building... many spore colonies, a nonsensical action. I think LastOrder saw the cannons and concluded, “I’ve seen this play before, and I know what is coming: Carriers!” It believes it is playing against XIMP. It plays similarly in games against XIMP.

LastOrder is a super interesting experiment. It did not score high like CherryPi, but it applied reinforcement learning to a more difficult problem, and it is far more successful than Sijia Xu’s past experiments with machine learning in Overkill. Its middling result is worth something, and yet its play remains somewhat disappointing. LastOrder’s play is highly reactive, but the reactions are often poor and the bot’s range of play is narrow (a wider pool of training opponents should help). I didn’t give examples, but many games show dishearteningly weak macro and mistaken tech decisions (possibly a better training methodology is needed). The problem is not solved yet!