predictions

PredictionBook members have 64% confidence that a bot will defeat a top-10 ranked human in at least one game by 2023. That’s based on the judgment of 6 people who don’t all seem well-informed, but maybe some of us will offer our insight.

There are two predictions with different dates. The confidence as of today:

by 1 January 2019	49%
by 1 January 2023	64%

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