SSCAIT Steamhammer prospects

Steamhammer won all but 2 of its regames, shifting its score up minutely from 79-33 to 80-32. It is tied with WillyT, which means it’s not definite which opponent it will face. Depending on whatever rule is used to pair tied bots, it might face Hao Pan, PurpleWave, or Dragon. PurpleWave is a possible opponent only if Hao Pan wins its last regame, which is likely.

Halo by Hao Pan would be its ideal opponent. Steamhammer would stand a good chance to upset the higher ranked bot.

PurpleWave would almost certainly win.

Dragon is in between. Steamhammer’s score ratio versus Dragon on BASIL is around 2:3, so it has a theoretical chance of winning a match. But Steamhammer will do worse on SSCAIT because it has less data to go on. There would be a slight chance of an upset.

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Jay Scott on Saturday, January 21. 2023:

Hao Pan did win its last regame, meaning that Dragon is not a possible opponent.

Dan on Sunday, January 22. 2023:

Probable bracket. May change due to a reported no-start during the re-run: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/521038802450644992/1066736274007937026/bracket-empty.png

Jay Scott on Sunday, January 22. 2023:

Nice, I get my preferred opponent. In the round robin, Steamhammer 2-0 Hao Pan. On BASIL, they are essentially even. It may be a close match.

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