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AIIDE 2020 - what DaQin learned

Holdover bot DaQin is based on Locutus and writes game records in a format close to old-style Steamhammer game records. The same script parses both Locutus and DaQin files, and is only slightly different from my original Steamhammer code. But DaQin plays a more restricted set of builds.


#1 stardust

openinggameswins
2GateDT60%
3GateDT1338%
4GateGoon110%
3 openings1507%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
DarkTemplar rush11275%7%8959%3%58%1%
Fast rush117%0%1611%6%0%0%
Not fast rush2617%12%4429%16%23%0%
Unknown11%0%11%0%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
gas steal attempt631:430:461:47
gas steal success2---
enemy scout1501:551:172:34
enemy combat units1503:072:225:42
enemy air units1268:025:3512:26
enemy cloaked units118:137:0622:38


It’s interesting that DaQin settled on a dark templar strategy. DaQin seems poor at recognizing the enemy strategy. Given these classes, I think all games would have been best classified as Not fast rush.


#2 purplewave

openinggameswins
2GateDT743%
3GateDT30%
4GateGoon14011%
3 openings15013%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
DarkTemplar rush128%33%139%23%50%0%
Fast rush13791%11%13691%11%95%0%
Naked expand--11%100%0%0%
Unknown11%0%--0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
gas steal attempt80:460:450:47
gas steal success5---
enemy scout1502:071:183:47
enemy combat units1503:022:217:50
enemy air units146:073:4119:42
enemy cloaked units936:475:1420:05


BananaBrain chose 4 gate goon as best against both Stardust and PurpleWave. DaQin liked the dragoons only against PurpleWave. This table doesn’t say so, but 2GateDT was tried on the tournament’s 3rd round out of 150 and won then, while 4GateGoon lost on its first outing. I would have to read the code to decipher the strange seeming preference for dragoons.


#3 bananabrain

openinggameswins
2GateDT1436%
3GateDT8940%
4GateGoon4721%
3 openings15034%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
DarkTemplar rush6543%34%7248%40%43%2%
Fast rush7953%35%6342%25%41%3%
Naked expand21%0%32%0%0%0%
Not fast rush11%0%43%75%0%100%
Proxy21%50%32%0%0%0%
Safe expand--11%100%0%0%
Unknown11%0%43%50%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
gas steal attempt601:420:461:47
gas steal success9---
enemy scout1501:580:533:11
enemy combat units1502:572:185:50
enemy air units1037:453:4515:31
enemy cloaked units386:115:2922:03

#4 dragon

openinggameswins
12NexusCarriers10658%
3GateDT933%
4GateGoon2715%
DTDrop825%
4 openings15047%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Factory4127%56%2919%62%44%15%
Naked expand107%30%1510%67%10%10%
Not fast rush3523%63%2416%12%3%20%
Proxy2617%15%2416%21%0%8%
Safe expand3523%46%3121%48%26%20%
Unknown21%100%2416%67%0%50%
Worker rush11%0%32%100%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
gas steal attempt1222:180:463:18
gas steal success9---
enemy scout1412:151:0619:29
enemy combat units1482:592:306:37
enemy air units1329:297:5814:01
enemy cloaked units1279:558:1817:26


The carriers were successful versus Dragon. DaQin attempted to steal gas in almost all games, and rarely succeeded. The tables don’t show enough information to tell whether the attempts were worth it.


#5 mcrave

openinggameswins
ForgeExpand5GateGoon30%
ForgeExpandSpeedlots14736%
2 openings15035%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Heavy rush149%43%2819%57%14%7%
Not fast rush13288%36%11778%31%78%2%
Unknown43%0%53%20%0%25%
timing#medianearlylate
gas steal attempt0---
gas steal success0---
enemy scout1502:390:535:35
enemy combat units1503:022:256:17
enemy air units1506:215:237:01
enemy cloaked units13111:029:3015:13

#6 microwave

openinggameswins
4GateGoon1173%
ForgeExpand5GateGoon30%
ForgeExpandSpeedlots13612%
3 openings15017%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Fast rush11%0%11%100%0%0%
Heavy rush139%8%3020%17%15%0%
Not fast rush12483%13%10369%17%69%6%
Proxy117%73%85%12%18%0%
Unknown11%0%85%12%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
gas steal attempt0---
gas steal success0---
enemy scout1462:421:2310:18
enemy combat units1503:562:476:45
enemy air units1336:174:4316:55
enemy cloaked units5010:065:4911:58


Another puzzling choice of a seemingly less-successful strategy...


#7 steamhammer

openinggameswins
ForgeExpand5GateGoon13679%
ForgeExpandSpeedlots1471%
2 openings15078%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Fast rush--43%100%0%0%
Heavy rush2718%89%3322%85%15%4%
Hydra bust85%62%21%100%0%0%
Not fast rush11476%77%10469%74%68%5%
Unknown11%0%75%86%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
gas steal attempt0---
gas steal success0---
enemy scout1272:110:5936:17
enemy combat units1503:151:556:29
enemy air units338:064:3927:42
enemy cloaked units3312:024:5423:23


... but not against Steamhammer. Steamhammer is far more skillful at fighting zealots than dragoons, and DaQin’s choice was correct here. (I expect that Steamhammer would have scored well against the speed zealots if DaQin had stuck to them.) Was Steamhammer’s poor showing relative to Microwave partly due to a mistake by DaQin that only happened versus Microwave?


#9 zzzkbot

openinggameswins
ForgeExpand5GateGoon14710%
ForgeExpandSpeedlots30%
2 openings1509%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Fast rush--53%100%0%0%
Heavy rush14395%6%14496%6%99%1%
Unknown75%71%11%0%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
gas steal attempt0---
gas steal success0---
enemy scout1473:450:515:39
enemy combat units1502:471:463:49
enemy air units97:477:438:21
enemy cloaked units0---

#10 ualbertabot

openinggameswins
12NexusCarriers10%
3GateDT3468%
4GateGoon3253%
DTDrop10%
ForgeExpand5GateGoon8178%
5 openings14969%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
DarkTemplar rush3624%61%3523%60%22%0%
Factory11%100%1611%94%100%0%
Fast rush8154%78%5235%69%37%1%
Heavy rush32%67%64%83%0%0%
Hydra bust--11%100%0%0%
Naked expand--11%100%0%0%
Not fast rush1913%68%2617%73%5%5%
Proxy85%25%107%30%0%0%
Unknown11%0%21%100%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
gas steal attempt391:420:461:48
gas steal success11---
enemy scout1381:411:148:25
enemy combat units1473:571:346:54
enemy air units76:545:5015:14
enemy cloaked units195:074:315:15

#11 willyt

openinggameswins
12NexusCarriers367%
3GateDT14797%
2 openings15096%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Factory--21%100%0%0%
Heavy rush117%82%85%100%0%27%
Not fast rush107%100%85%100%0%40%
Safe expand12382%98%9060%94%60%27%
Unknown64%83%4228%98%0%33%
timing#medianearlylate
gas steal attempt1391:431:392:21
gas steal success53---
enemy scout1491:531:433:55
enemy combat units1503:052:385:06
enemy air units6517:308:2729:58
enemy cloaked units3715:0711:4321:49

#12 ecgberht

openinggameswins
12NexusCarriers250%
3GateDT148100%
2 openings15099%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Factory8859%100%5436%100%23%14%
Fast rush2416%100%2718%96%17%0%
Naked expand--21%100%0%0%
Not fast rush53%100%149%100%20%0%
Proxy--11%100%0%0%
Safe expand3121%100%3725%100%19%10%
Unknown21%50%1510%100%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
gas steal attempt1261:431:382:21
gas steal success29---
enemy scout1401:350:343:55
enemy combat units1503:432:055:45
enemy air units467:295:599:31
enemy cloaked units158:417:359:54

#13 eggbot

openinggameswins
3GateDT1694%
4GateGoon13497%
2 openings15097%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
DarkTemplar rush10469%95%9060%98%58%0%
Proxy4228%100%6040%95%36%0%
Unknown43%100%--0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
gas steal attempt580:460:460:49
gas steal success54---
enemy scout1210:460:353:41
enemy combat units296:344:3922:57
enemy air units0---
enemy cloaked units0---

overall

totalPvTPvPPvZPvR
openinggameswinsgameswinsgameswinsgameswinsgameswins
12NexusCarriers11257% 11158% 10%
2GateDT2730% 2730%
3GateDT57965% 30496% 24126% 3468%
4GateGoon40246% 2715% 33247% 1173% 3253%
DTDrop922% 825% 10%
ForgeExpand5GateGoon37050% 28942% 8178%
ForgeExpandSpeedlots30027% 30027%
total179950%45081%60038%60035%14969%
openings played74335

AIIDE 2020 - what BananaBrain learned

#3 BananaBrain had pre-trained data, 3000 (!) games versus Stardust and 100 each against PurpleWave, Dragon, McRave, Microwave, and DaQin. Other opponents did not rate. The main tables here include only tournament games, not pre-training games. BananaBrain scored higher in training games than in tournament games against every opponent except the carryover DaQin (training 61% of 100 games, tournament 66% of 150 games, statistically close enough). It looks as though BananaBrain might have won the tournament if it had played against the same versions of opponents that it trained against. I take it as a sign that secret tournament improvements may be worth it.

A couple conclusions: 1. Enemy strategy recognition seemed to have some misfires with terran opponents. 2. BananaBrain would have scored slightly better if it had never played the Stove. It’s a for-fun build more than a for-real build—though bots are often poor at adaptation, so perhaps on BASIL it is more effective than here.


#1 stardust

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PvP_10/12gate1040%12119
PvP_12nexus20%1166
PvP_2gatedt617%28145
PvP_2gatedtexpo70%0140
PvP_2gatereaver2924%3149
PvP_3gaterobo425%50106
PvP_3gatespeedzeal30%465
PvP_4gategoon2665%31144
PvP_9/9gate40%29146
PvP_9/9proxygate1741%8142
PvP_nzcore20%268
PvP_zcore10%118118
PvP_zcorez540%42117
PvP_zzcore3453%5148
14 openings15038%
enemygameswins
P_1gatecore2335%
P_2gate475%
P_2gatefast1030%
P_4gategoon9444%
P_unknown1911%
5 openings15038%


BananaBrain was the only bot to leave a dent in Stardust. Its plan recognition was not precise enough to pin down Stardust’s 4 gate goon strategy consistently, likely because Stardust ejected the bananascout before the build was complete. Still, BananaBrain’s 4 gate goon opener defeated Stardust’s 4 gate goons 65% of the time in 26 games. BananaBrain is deliberately unpredictable, but against this opponent consistency may have been better: Stardust played without learning, so its opponents should have sought the single best opening as an answer rather than the best mix of openings. It’s possible that #3 BananaBrain could have upset Stardust if it had done that, though it would not have gained enough wins to pass #2 PurpleWave.

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PvP_10/12gate603%112934
PvP_12nexus560%42915
PvP_2gatedt11231%82978
PvP_2gatedtexpo27853%52921
PvP_2gatereaver111066%62988
PvP_3gaterobo603%22935
PvP_3gatespeedzeal11626%72916
PvP_4gategoon560%32917
PvP_9/9gate13636%122995
PvP_9/9proxygate43761%132936
PvP_nzcore560%12918
PvP_zcore10221%02989
PvP_zcorez7212%92986
PvP_zzcore34967%102999
14 openings300051%

This is the table of pre-trained games. It looks different from the tournament table; the overall score and the individual results by strategy do not match up. The training may have been against an older version of Stardust on the Starcraft AI Ladder, or it may have been against Locutus, which was wrapped around an encrypted Stardust binary on SSCAIT and played instead of Stardust if it didn’t have its encryption key.

The misleading training cannot have helped BananaBrain’s results. It did adapt, but notice that BananaBrain’s most effective counter of 4 gate goon was only played 26 times in 150 games, less often than P_2gatereaver and P_zzcore which scored highest in training.


#2 purplewave

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PvP_10/12gate714%1146
PvP_12nexus714%2125
PvP_2gatedt1136%22142
PvP_2gatedtexpo1040%36141
PvP_2gatereaver922%20144
PvP_3gaterobo1323%3148
PvP_3gatespeedzeal933%9108
PvP_4gategoon1669%4137
PvP_9/9gate922%13128
PvP_9/9proxygate922%10147
PvP_nzcore1443%7149
PvP_zcore714%29115
PvP_zcorez1242%0143
PvP_zzcore1765%5139
14 openings15037%
enemygameswins
P_1gatecore10638%
P_2gate580%
P_2gatefast367%
P_4gategoon1436%
P_ffe10%
P_unknown2124%
6 openings15037%


Again, 4 gate goon was BananaBrain’s best, though zealot-zealot-core was statistically equal. PurpleWave learns, so mixing it up was likely correct. Judging by the names, the last 4 builds here, the ones that mention “core”, are nonspecific tech builds that might aim for any tech and unit mix in the midgame. Do the names accurately describe them?

Again the training data was somewhat misleading (52% win rate in 100 training games and entirely different best counters), but BananaBrain tried its strategies in a fairly even distribution so I think it made little difference in this case. Presumably 100 games of training provide a smaller bias than 3000 games.


#4 dragon

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PvT_10/12gate1771%8145
PvT_10/15gate1242%15147
PvT_12nexus812%16132
PvT_1gatedtexpo743%36134
PvT_1gatereaver50%10118
PvT_28nexus1145%25149
PvT_2gatedt933%2128
PvT_2gaterngexpo729%32131
PvT_32nexus825%12124
PvT_9/9gate1878%7146
PvT_9/9proxygate1457%4148
PvT_bulldog60%5120
PvT_dtdrop825%0117
PvT_proxydt1471%1140
PvT_stove60%11125
15 openings15045%
enemygameswins
T_1fac3842%
T_fastexpand475%
T_unknown10844%
3 openings15045%


BananaBrain could not recognize most of Dragon’s builds. It looks like Dragon was vulnerable to mass zealots, an important weakness, and to hidden dark templar, which any terran might die to if unscouted. But what is the Stove doing there? Does it work against decent terran bots? Maybe the key is that there are few mid-rank terran bots, they are mostly in the upper and lower tiers.

67% overall win rate in training, but this time BananaBrain’s best counters matched between training and the tournament. The training helped, even though it was against a weaker version of Dragon.


#5 mcrave

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PvZ_10/12gate1369%24144
PvZ_1basespeedzeal1250%8133
PvZ_2basespeedzeal933%25148
PvZ_4gate2archon617%29132
PvZ_5gategoon1656%7129
PvZ_9/9gate2796%1145
PvZ_9/9proxygate1050%0147
PvZ_bisu520%1987
PvZ_neobisu1145%5149
PvZ_sairdt1030%4141
PvZ_sairgoon1765%3146
PvZ_sairreaver520%2691
PvZ_stove922%2140
13 openings15055%
enemygameswins
Z_9pool2882%
Z_overpool11847%
Z_unknown475%
3 openings15055%


According to McRave’s tables, McRave played overpool every game against BananaBrain. BananaBrain was able to correctly recognize that most of the time, but strangely won at a higher rate when recognition failed. Does BananaBrain perhaps have a reaction to overpool which was detrimental in this case? Or was BananaBrain perfectly right, and McRave sometimes slips up in its build order and goes 9 pool instead of overpool? I think it’s more likely that BananaBrain misrecognized it.


#6 microwave

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PvZ_10/12gate1771%6148
PvZ_1basespeedzeal1984%2141
PvZ_2basespeedzeal1164%1145
PvZ_4gate2archon956%4147
PvZ_5gategoon743%20125
PvZ_9/9gate1155%19123
PvZ_9/9proxygate1258%0130
PvZ_bisu1471%5138
PvZ_neobisu1060%11121
PvZ_sairdt1050%8146
PvZ_sairgoon1145%3149
PvZ_sairreaver956%7143
PvZ_stove1050%17136
13 openings15061%
enemygameswins
Z_10hatch1377%
Z_12hatch2085%
Z_12pool3749%
Z_4/5pool875%
Z_9pool5052%
Z_9poolspeed786%
Z_overpool1258%
Z_unknown367%
8 openings15061%


BananaBrain’s openings scored roughly similarly against Microwave, only a couple below 50% and only one above 75%. I think that argues that Microwave is well balanced in its skills.


#7 steamhammer

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PvZ_10/12gate17100%4148
PvZ_1basespeedzeal1377%8124
PvZ_2basespeedzeal1173%11130
PvZ_4gate2archon933%6140
PvZ_5gategoon944%19147
PvZ_9/9gate17100%27149
PvZ_9/9proxygate1694%5142
PvZ_bisu838%2145
PvZ_neobisu60%18129
PvZ_sairdt1493%0137
PvZ_sairgoon1164%7146
PvZ_sairreaver1040%14144
PvZ_stove956%1139
13 openings15071%
enemygameswins
Z_10hatch3453%
Z_12hatch8769%
Z_12pool1191%
Z_4/5pool2100%
Z_9pool8100%
Z_overpool3100%
Z_unknown5100%
7 openings15071%


The 2 gate zealot openings whomped Steamhammer. Steamhammer survives the zealot attack in many cases, but usually by spending more than it can afford so that it falls far behind in economy.


#8 daqin

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PvP_10/12gate1070%15140
PvP_12nexus757%49146
PvP_2gatedt1688%8147
PvP_2gatedtexpo1471%9133
PvP_2gatereaver1681%3149
PvP_3gaterobo1362%4138
PvP_3gatespeedzeal729%11121
PvP_4gategoon850%32118
PvP_9/9gate1694%16148
PvP_9/9proxygate1060%1135
PvP_nzcore1164%10139
PvP_zcore743%0130
PvP_zcorez729%2137
PvP_zzcore850%31145
14 openings15066%
enemygameswins
P_1gatecore6668%
P_4gategoon6860%
P_ffe1100%
P_unknown1580%
4 openings15066%

#9 zzzkbot

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PvZ_10/12gate12100%6133
PvZ_1basespeedzeal12100%25148
PvZ_2basespeedzeal14100%2149
PvZ_4gate2archon1191%3144
PvZ_5gategoon1283%0142
PvZ_9/9gate12100%21135
PvZ_9/9proxygate978%4146
PvZ_bisu1191%17145
PvZ_neobisu12100%10143
PvZ_sairdt12100%5147
PvZ_sairgoon12100%18136
PvZ_sairreaver1080%1132
PvZ_stove1191%12141
13 openings15094%
enemygameswins
Z_4/5pool9998%
Z_9pool4885%
Z_overpool2100%
Z_unknown1100%
4 openings15094%


ZZZKBot is the first opponent that BananaBrain outclassed. It did not much matter what protoss played.


#10 ualbertabot

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PvU_10/12gate2190%2145
PvU_9/9gate2291%4147
PvU_9/9proxygate1872%1133
PvU_ffe2391%0146
PvU_nzcore2085%10139
PvU_zcore2696%3149
PvU_zzcore2085%9148
7 openings15088%
enemygameswins
P_1gatecore2195%
P_2gate580%
P_2gatefast1794%
P_4gategoon2100%
P_unknown20%
T_2fac22100%
T_2rax1894%
T_unknown15100%
T_wallin1100%
Z_12hatch1493%
Z_4/5pool3266%
Z_unknown1100%
12 openings15088%


It’s interesting that BananaBrain recognized a terran wall in one game. UAlbertaBot does not know how to build a wall, and in fact places its early buildings near the command center. Terran is also the opponent race with the highest number of unrecognized (“unknown”) builds. BananaBrain suffered recognition trouble against Dragon too.


#11 willyt

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PvT_10/12gate12100%6148
PvT_10/15gate11100%12129
PvT_12nexus978%8146
PvT_1gatedtexpo1080%7139
PvT_1gatereaver1080%14143
PvT_28nexus862%5144
PvT_2gatedt1173%1145
PvT_2gaterngexpo978%29127
PvT_32nexus12100%0142
PvT_9/9gate12100%2149
PvT_9/9proxygate13100%3147
PvT_bulldog978%4141
PvT_dtdrop978%19108
PvT_proxydt967%25133
PvT_stove650%22131
15 openings15084%
enemygameswins
T_1fac888%
T_2rax5296%
T_fastexpand2677%
T_unknown6477%
4 openings15084%


The Stove did not work well against WillyT.


#12 ecgberht

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PvT_10/12gate10100%2127
PvT_10/15gate10100%6137
PvT_12nexus10100%24129
PvT_1gatedtexpo10100%9148
PvT_1gatereaver10100%11131
PvT_28nexus10100%15139
PvT_2gatedt11100%12142
PvT_2gaterngexpo10100%1140
PvT_32nexus10100%10125
PvT_9/9gate10100%18147
PvT_9/9proxygate10100%0145
PvT_bulldog10100%25149
PvT_dtdrop10100%8143
PvT_proxydt978%17146
PvT_stove10100%3144
15 openings15099%
enemygameswins
T_1fac8100%
T_2fac24100%
T_2rax7100%
T_fastexpand21100%
T_unknown9098%
5 openings15099%


The Stove did as well as anything against Ecgberht. But then, only one opening had any losses (it had 2 losses).


#13 eggbot

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PvP_10/12gate12100%1145
PvP_12nexus11100%16142
PvP_2gatedt12100%19148
PvP_2gatedtexpo1292%10137
PvP_2gatereaver10100%27122
PvP_3gaterobo989%12104
PvP_3gatespeedzeal12100%0146
PvP_4gategoon12100%3149
PvP_9/9gate12100%2143
PvP_9/9proxygate875%22136
PvP_nzcore989%13130
PvP_zcore11100%5147
PvP_zcorez11100%8138
PvP_zzcore989%11131
14 openings15096%
enemygameswins
P_cannonrush14796%
P_proxygate3100%
2 openings15096%

AIIDE 2020 - what Steamhammer learned

Steamhammer’s tables are fuller than others, partly because Steamhammer records more information than most bots and partly because I put more effort into analyzing my own bot’s results. Even so, the game records contain far more information than is summarized here. I have many features in mind that I’d like to add to my analysis scripts.

Some bottom line findings: 1. My preparation for specific opponents was largely successful, as far as it went. All prepared openings had at least a fair win rate, and most were among the most successful openings Steamhammer discovered throughout the tournament. 2. Steamhammer’s gas steal skill had value against many opponents, even though my first analysis of the skill suggested that it might not. (I have known for a long time that my first analysis had missed the truth.) It was able to judge pretty accurately whether stealing gas was effective versus a given opponent, so it could exploit it when successful and reduce the cost of trying it when unsuccessful.


#1 stardust

openinggameswinsfirstlast
10HatchBurrow186%96146
10HatchHydra10%4949
10Pool9Hatch10%3434
11HatchTurtleHydra70%379
11HatchTurtleMuta10%111111
12-11HatchLing10%6060
12HatchTurtle40%1329
2x10HatchAllIn20%53147
2x10HatchSlow10%3838
3HatchHydra10%00
3HatchHydraBust10%5858
3HatchLateHydras+110%5959
3HatchLingExpo10%5454
3HatchLurker10%104104
4HatchBeforeLair10%101101
4PoolHard10%11
4Scout20%4348
5HatchBeforeGas10%7070
5HatchPoolLing10%148148
5HatchPoolLingBurrow10%120120
5PoolHard2Player20%36118
5Scout10%4545
7HatchSpeed30%41117
8DroneGas10%3232
8Gas7PoolLurker B10%5151
8Hatch7Pool20%47139
8Hatch7PoolBurrow10%6363
8Hatch7PoolSpeed10%3535
9Hatch8Pool20%6771
9HatchMain9Pool9Gas20%5062
9PoolHatch10%9999
9PoolHatchBurrow10%4646
9PoolHatchSpeed10%6969
9PoolHatchSpeedSpire20%3773
9PoolSpeedAllIn10%3333
9PoolSpireSlowlings10%5555
AntiTyrLurker10%6666
AntiZeal_12Hatch70%8138
GuardianRush10%4040
Over10Hatch20%683
Over10Hatch1Sunk30%224
Over10Hatch2Sunk40%516
Over10Hatch2SunkHard20%1452
Over10HatchBurrow10%105105
Over10HatchBust297%74145
Over10HatchHydra20%8691
Over10HatchSlowLings20%420
OverhatchLateGas20%7795
OverpoolHydra10%3939
OverpoolSpeed10%126126
OverpoolSunk10%5656
OverpoolTurtle50%11134
Overpool_3HatchLing10%149149
Overpool_4HatchLing20%5768
PurpleSwarmBuild20%129140
QueenRush10%144144
Sparkle 3HatchMuta10%137137
ZvP_2HatchFakeMuta10%130130
ZvP_4HatchPoolHydra20%4464
ZvP_Overpool3Hatch10%7272
ZvT_2HatchMuta10%6565
ZvZ_12HatchMain20%61142
ZvZ_12PoolLingB10%3131
63 openings1502%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Heavy rush14899%2%10167%2%68%32%
Unknown21%0%4933%2%0%50%
timing#medianearlylate
my combat unit1503:021:515:35
my gas1483:231:157:50
enemy scout1501:571:172:41
enemy combat unit1502:382:214:47
enemy gas1504:163:598:20
enemy air unit59:497:4711:21
enemy cloaked unit59:497:4711:21
game duration1508:146:1618:36
gas steal#medianearlylatewinsenemy gas
gas steal decision152:131:483:350%4:25
gas steal success112:092:002:270%4:27
none or failed139---2%4:15
gas steal killed112:442:382:59


Steamhammer managed 3 wins with 2 different openings, but basically nothing worked despite trying the full range from 4 pool to hive rush. Stealing gas did not help, but the situation was desperate so Steamhammer tried it 10% of the time. An interesting number is the enemy scout timing: The scout probe arrived at the zerg base with more consistent timing (arriving in a narrower time window) than against any other opponent. Part of Stardust’s recipe is good scouting.


#2 purplewave

openinggameswinsfirstlast
11Gas10PoolLurker10%4343
11Gas10PoolMuta10%6565
11HatchTurtleHydra30%189
11HatchTurtleMuta20%1419
12-11Hatch20%4656
12Hatch12Pool10%8181
12HatchTurtle1315%10147
2HatchLingAllInSpire10%6969
2HatchLurkerAllIn20%2584
2HatchLurkerPure1315%85148
2HatchMutaPure10%128128
2x10HatchSlow10%111111
3HatchHydra10%140140
3HatchHydraExpo20%2467
3HatchLing30%075
3HatchLingBust210%5555
3HatchLingExpo20%74138
3HatchLurker10%6060
5HatchBeforeGas20%116144
5HatchPoolLing10%6868
5PoolHard2Player10%146146
6PoolHide10%118118
6PoolSpeed20%5862
6Scout10%149149
7DroneHatch10%141141
8-8HydraRush10%109109
8Gas7PoolLurker B10%108108
8Hatch7Pool1513%37127
973HydraBust10%104104
9Hatch8Pool10%7272
9HatchExpo9Pool9Gas714%51143
9PoolExpo10%4848
9PoolHatch30%34119
9PoolHatchSpeed7DroneB10%6666
9PoolHatchSpeedAllInB20%8896
9PoolHatchSpeedSpire10%3131
9PoolSpeedAllIn10%5353
9PoolSunkHatch10%9898
AntiFact_13Pool10%4545
AntiFact_2Hatch10%6161
AntiFactoryHydra10%7373
AntiWraith_2Hatch10%114114
AntiZeal_12Hatch110%4112
Over10Hatch40%518
Over10Hatch+110%7171
Over10Hatch11Pool10%7979
Over10Hatch1Sunk10%99
Over10Hatch2Sunk10%1616
Over10Hatch2SunkHard40%3100
Over10HatchBust10%2323
Over10HatchHydra10%8080
OverhatchExpoLing10%121121
OverhatchExpoMuta40%828
OverhatchLateGas10%2929
Overpool+110%115115
Overpool2HatchLurker10%110110
OverpoolHatch10%6464
OverpoolHide10%9393
OverpoolSpeed30%3382
OverpoolTurtle30%213
OverpoolTurtle 010%4242
Overpool_3HatchLing10%106106
ZvP_2HatchMuta10%6363
ZvP_3BaseSpire+Den10%102102
ZvP_3HatchMuta10%4949
ZvP_3HatchPoolHydra10%101101
ZvT_13Pool10%9999
ZvZ_Overgas8Pool10%9797
ZvZ_Overpool11Gas10%7070
69 openings1505%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Fast rush--64%0%0%0%
Heavy rush13389%5%7147%4%47%26%
Naked expand--21%100%0%0%
Safe expand1510%7%2215%0%7%27%
Turtle11%0%107%0%0%0%
Unknown11%0%3926%5%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
my combat unit1503:061:537:55
my gas1503:251:1411:39
enemy scout1502:111:1914:11
enemy combat unit1492:552:186:22
enemy gas1475:113:518:40
enemy air unit10211:074:3916:47
enemy cloaked unit8711:427:1516:58
game duration15013:095:4625:41
gas steal#medianearlylatewinsenemy gas
gas steal decision152:131:583:000%5:10
gas steal success102:222:182:410%5:16
none or failed140---5%5:11
gas steal killed103:052:535:08


Steamhammer again desperately tried every tech and timing known to zerg, and this time found a little success with a few of them—a sunken build, a lurker build, and two 2-hatch zergling wave builds. PurpleWave largely stuck with 2 gates. Stealing gas barely delayed Protoss from taking gas, but Steamhammer still tried 10% of the time—if you’re losing almost all games, it doesn’t hurt.


#3 bananabrain

openinggameswinsfirstlast
11HatchTurtleHydra2730%2149
12-12Hatch10%6363
2HatchHydra10%1515
3HatchHydraExpo10%5555
3HatchLateHydras+110%11
3HatchLingBurrow1828%5139
3HatchLingBust22938%4140
4HatchBeforeGas10%99
4PoolHard10%1010
5PoolHard10%143143
973HydraBust10%00
9PoolHatchSpeedAllInB10%5757
AntiFact_13Pool2438%3137
DefilerRush333%144147
OverhatchExpoLing10%6161
OverhatchExpoMuta10%9494
OverhatchLateGas10%9898
OverpoolSunk10%110110
Overpool_3HatchLing10%3939
Sparkle 2HatchMuta10%4848
ZvP_3HatchPoolHydra1020%26120
ZvT_12PoolMuta812%46146
ZvT_13Pool1547%108148
ZvT_3HatchMuta10%8181
24 openings15029%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Fast rush128%33%75%0%17%42%
Heavy rush4228%21%3020%10%19%26%
Naked expand43%25%53%80%0%25%
Proxy--53%0%0%0%
Safe expand7147%31%3725%38%21%31%
Turtle2114%38%1812%67%10%43%
Unknown--4832%23%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
my combat unit1503:111:474:11
my gas1453:212:136:42
enemy scout1501:451:156:55
enemy combat unit1503:092:196:37
enemy gas1395:222:479:41
enemy air unit1316:022:4711:18
enemy cloaked unit967:113:2614:06
game duration15010:224:4132:00
gas steal#medianearlylatewinsenemy gas
gas steal decision652:131:483:2337%5:19
gas steal success462:191:542:4039%6:04
none or failed104---25%5:07
gas steal killed465:472:4520:00


BananaBrain was the first opponent weak enough that Steamhammer was able to find answers and did not feel a need to throw in the kitchen sink. 2 hatch muta builds were the most successful (and the best was one specialized for play against terran), but zergling builds and hydra builds were also OK. I love that the defiler rush won a game (it’s not at all a practical opening, but against a bot...). Unlike Stardust and PurpleWave, unpredictable BananaBrain played a variety of builds—for example, the appearance of an enemy cloaked unit at 3:26 in one game suggests a dark templar rush. The gas steal was successful and delayed protoss from taking gas for nearly an entire minute, so Steamhammer went with it frequently.


#4 dragon

openinggameswinsfirstlast
2HatchLingAllInSpire850%35140
3HatchLurker1656%0148
4PoolSoft520%1747
5HatchPool5985%5146
5PoolHard2Player10%11
6PoolSpeed10%44
9PoolSpeedAllIn20%23
UltraRush333%142149
ZvT_3HatchMuta771%121147
ZvT_3HatchMutaExpo4078%49145
ZvT_7Pool850%5384
11 openings15070%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Factory5637%70%3624%53%46%25%
Heavy rush21%50%11%100%0%50%
Naked expand1711%82%1510%93%18%35%
Safe expand128%33%128%83%8%58%
Turtle11%100%11%100%0%0%
Unknown--4631%74%0%0%
Worker rush6241%74%3926%67%42%29%
timing#medianearlylate
my combat unit1413:171:477:58
my gas1133:471:4710:51
enemy scout1492:151:056:47
enemy combat unit1212:392:218:45
enemy gas1186:022:4311:45
enemy air unit1089:154:2217:01
enemy cloaked unit859:545:4316:34
game duration15015:073:0137:21
gas steal#medianearlylatewinsenemy gas
gas steal decision392:211:564:2072%6:02
gas steal success172:222:143:0665%7:07
none or failed133---71%5:52
gas steal killed174:263:185:08


Steamhammer upset Dragon. The success of 5 hatcheries before spawning pool means that Dragon was not aggressive early, to its detriment—or that Steamhammer recognized any early aggression as a rush and reacted correctly. 3 hatchery mutalisk builds were also good. Even 3 hatchery lurker was not bad, though on the face it appears unsuited to counter Dragon’s play style. The gas steal was not successful in terms of win rate, but Steamhammer noticed that it delayed Dragon’s gas for a long time so it tried anyway. Fewer than half the attempts to steal gas ended with the extractor successfully made, though. The 37 minute game (here 37:21, officially 37:22) was Steamhammer’s longest game of the tournament, except for a couple games versus EggBot that went to the 60 minute limit and had to be adjudicated on points.


#5 mcrave

openinggameswinsfirstlast
12PoolLurker10%5555
3HatchLingBurrow520%97126
8DroneGas1164%106148
9HatchMain9Pool9Gas20%52138
9PoolHatchSpeedAllInB10%1919
9PoolSpire20%5995
Over10HatchBust1942%62149
Over10PoolLing10%00
OverpoolSpeed1520%5135
OverpoolSunk2138%30128
OverpoolTurtle2348%66139
ZvP_3HatchMuta10%134134
ZvZ_12HatchExpo10%77
ZvZ_Overgas9Pool20%13
ZvZ_OverpoolTurtle4558%2146
15 openings15043%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Heavy rush2013%35%85%50%0%70%
Naked expand11879%45%3322%42%21%69%
Turtle96%44%43%25%0%78%
Unknown21%0%10469%42%0%50%
Worker rush11%0%11%100%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
my combat unit1502:262:133:15
my gas1462:321:313:30
enemy scout1502:470:375:51
enemy combat unit1502:341:116:03
enemy gas1303:232:3211:09
enemy air unit1234:313:3710:10
enemy cloaked unit515:0611:4524:23
game duration15010:583:4129:42
gas steal#medianearlylatewinsenemy gas
gas steal decision102:001:542:4830%3:15
gas steal success0-----
none or failed150---43%3:23
gas steal killed0---


Steamhammer failed to recognize McRave’s build in 2/3 of games, though we know from yeterday’s post exactly what they were, and that they should not have been hard to understand. I put more effort into recognizing rushes and proxies that change the whole course of the game than into regular builds, and the result is that Steamhammer’s understanding and prediction are sometimes spectacularly unhelpful. The 8DroneGas build is actually a 9 pool which makes a second hatchery; it’s called that because it ends up with 8 drones while flooding zerglings (it’s not the Styx build, but related). 5 games had cloaked units; I think that means that McRave researched burrow, because it does use burrow and does not seem to ever make lurkers. Steamhammer was unable to steal gas in 10 attempts, so it gave up trying.


#6 microwave

openinggameswinsfirstlast
6PoolBurrow10%5050
8-8HydraRush10%131131
9Hatch8Pool520%6887
9PoolHatchSpeedSpire10%6060
OverhatchLing10%22
OverpoolBurrow10%121121
ZvZ_12HatchExpo540%117141
ZvZ_12PoolLing1164%0149
ZvZ_12PoolMain333%171
ZvZ_Overpool11Gas4473%3147
ZvZ_Overpool9Gas6489%8148
ZvZ_OverpoolTurtle1354%9140
12 openings15071%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Fast rush128%67%85%88%8%67%
Heavy rush4429%75%3221%91%20%32%
Naked expand9463%70%4228%67%23%45%
Turtle--43%75%0%0%
Unknown--6443%62%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
my combat unit1502:261:573:14
my gas1502:061:382:45
enemy scout1502:251:174:53
enemy combat unit1502:411:495:25
enemy gas1295:212:349:37
enemy air unit1157:343:4615:33
enemy cloaked unit0---
game duration15013:323:4130:36
gas steal#medianearlylatewinsenemy gas
gas steal decision61:581:502:200%5:04
gas steal success12:212:212:210%6:40
none or failed149---72%5:16
gas steal killed13:163:163:16


Steamhammer found a variety of overpool openings to be best. Overpool is flexible; those openings play out quite differently. Microwave didn’t play 5 pool often because it didn’t work: Steamhammer’s rush recognition is improved this year, and it reacted well. The burrow openings and 8-8 dawn hydra rush are not appropriate for ZvZ; those choices could be improved. Unlike McRave, Microwave did not use burrow. Stealing gas failed, so Steamhammer gave it up quickly.


#8 daqin

openinggameswinsfirstlast
10HatchLing10%139139
11Gas10PoolLurker10%6363
12-12Hatch10%4242
12Hatch_4HatchLing20%82126
2.5HatchMuta10%9999
2HatchHydraBust20%5131
3HatchHydra20%20113
3HatchHydraBust30%497
3HatchHydraExpo10%5353
3HatchLateHydras+110%107107
3HatchLing5944%0147
3HatchLingBust220%2269
4HatchBeforeGas2520%13144
4HatchBeforeLair10%142142
5HatchBeforeGas20%12
5HatchPool10%128128
5PoolHard2Player10%6666
5Scout10%9393
973HydraBust40%373
9Pool8GasLurker10%9191
9PoolHatchSpeed10%3838
9PoolHatchSpeedSpire210%114114
9PoolHatchSpire10%6767
9PoolSpireSlowlings10%3131
9PoolSunkHatch10%9292
AntiFact_2Hatch10%8787
AntiFact_Overpool9Gas10%141141
AntiFactory210%116116
Over10Hatch1Sunk10%7676
OverhatchExpoMuta30%1747
OverpoolSpeed10%7272
OverpoolTurtle 020%106146
Proxy8HatchNatural10%4141
Sparkle 3HatchMuta617%120136
ZvP_2HatchMuta10%2525
ZvP_3BaseSpire+Den10%115115
ZvP_3HatchPoolHydra714%133149
ZvT_2HatchMuta10%5757
ZvT_3HatchMuta10%4343
ZvT_7Pool10%5959
ZvZ_12PoolLing10%7777
ZvZ_12PoolLingB20%103129
ZvZ_Overpool11Gas10%8888
43 openings15022%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Heavy rush--107%20%0%0%
Naked expand--53%80%0%0%
Safe expand3523%11%4832%21%37%6%
Turtle11476%25%8557%20%59%0%
Unknown11%100%21%0%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
my combat unit1503:111:515:01
my gas1503:221:475:53
enemy scout1491:301:1511:34
enemy combat unit1504:494:066:51
enemy gas1485:424:438:31
enemy air unit3813:159:1026:30
enemy cloaked unit4812:114:4317:37
game duration15011:166:2236:26
gas steal#medianearlylatewinsenemy gas
gas steal decision312:141:583:0635%6:16
gas steal success312:222:083:1335%6:16
none or failed119---18%5:32
gas steal killed312:532:3813:06


DaQin upset Steamhammer badly, and zerg fell back on exploring widely. One ling bust and a few macro builds were able to save some games against DaQin’s consistent forge expand (which Steamhammer often misrecognized as Turtle because it did not actively look for the expansion nexus). The gas steal is measured to increase the overall win rate from 18% to 22%, not bad.


#9 zzzkbot

openinggameswinsfirstlast
8Hatch7Pool560%103133
9PoolHatchSpire425%14148
9PoolSunkHatch3067%3149
9PoolSunkSpeed1771%0136
OverhatchLing1464%108140
OverpoolSunk2050%1143
ZvZ_12Pool10%7979
ZvZ_OverpoolTurtle5997%13147
8 openings15075%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Fast rush4027%80%107%100%25%68%
Turtle11073%73%2718%70%22%78%
Unknown--11375%73%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
my combat unit1502:252:143:06
my gas1482:382:017:07
enemy scout1502:380:394:01
enemy combat unit1502:411:534:31
enemy gas1215:272:248:21
enemy air unit626:346:238:35
enemy cloaked unit0---
game duration1507:544:2615:23
gas steal#medianearlylatewinsenemy gas
gas steal decision82:372:013:0175%5:27
gas steal success0-----
none or failed150---75%5:27
gas steal killed0---


ZZZKBot switches between its famous 4 pool (recognized as Fast rush; see the 100% win rate when the strategy was recognized) and a build with sunkens, two hatcheries, and 6 sudden mutalisks (recognized as Turtle). It seems that part of Steamhammer’s difficulty with ZZZKBot (I consider a 75% win rate to be low in this case) is due to poor scouting: See the rate of Unknown enemy strategies. A bigger part of it may be a problem with the exploration policy. ZvZ_OverpoolTurtle scored 97% and was discovered early, but was played in only 59 games out of 150.

Steamhammer does not use enemy scout timing as a clue to the enemy strategy, and it should. When a scout appears at your base in 39 seconds it must have been sent almost immediately. Either the enemy is rushing, or is terrified that you might. A comparison of past scout timings versus recognized strategies for this opponent could be strong evidence.

ZZZKBot takes gas only in its muta strategy, and then it has sunkens so that a gas steal cannot succeed. Steamhammer figured that out fairly quickly.


#10 ualbertabot

openinggameswinsfirstlast
973HydraBust10%129129
AntiZeal_12Hatch771%0142
Over10Hatch475%2141
OverpoolTurtle13799%1148
4 openings14996%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Factory107%100%1711%100%0%50%
Fast rush2819%93%2315%96%14%36%
Heavy rush11174%96%6040%93%44%22%
Naked expand--107%100%0%0%
Unknown--3926%97%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
my combat unit1492:262:223:15
my gas1472:582:544:46
enemy scout1402:021:187:41
enemy combat unit1182:391:424:33
enemy gas1273:382:3713:12
enemy air unit3314:3110:4616:33
enemy cloaked unit3214:162:3716:33
game duration1498:273:4220:54
gas steal#medianearlylatewinsenemy gas
gas steal decision0-----
gas steal success0-----
none or failed149---96%3:38
gas steal killed0---


Steamhammer recorded only 149 games against UAlbertaBot, because it crashed one game, its only crash in the tournament. Against every other opponent, Steamhammer recorded all 150 games.

There was no need to test the gas steal. If you’re winning nearly all games, spending a drone to vary your play is not likely to gain anything. Another point is that UAlbertaBot often takes gas quite late, so stealing gas early is unlikely to pay off.


#11 willyt

openinggameswinsfirstlast
11Gas10PoolLurker4774%4149
12-12Hatch10%4646
2HatchLurker10%115115
4PoolHard520%258
9HatchMain9Pool9Gas1638%7148
9PoolSpeed3358%1141
9PoolSpeedAllIn2854%3145
GuardianRush540%123143
Over10Hatch2Sunk10%146146
Overpool_3HatchLing10%113113
Sparkle 3HatchMuta1145%65132
ZvT_3HatchMuta10%00
12 openings15055%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Factory--11%0%0%0%
Fast rush--11%0%0%0%
Heavy rush1611%62%1510%27%12%50%
Naked expand8657%53%3523%100%17%52%
Safe expand4832%56%3020%77%25%31%
Unknown--6845%31%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
my combat unit1502:421:463:38
my gas1451:491:455:17
enemy scout1422:111:387:19
enemy combat unit1502:592:056:41
enemy gas1125:134:0410:07
enemy air unit1117:1310:4530:58
enemy cloaked unit2214:237:1019:33
game duration1508:484:4231:49
gas steal#medianearlylatewinsenemy gas
gas steal decision272:131:482:4367%5:45
gas steal success232:211:562:5770%6:19
none or failed127---53%5:11
gas steal killed234:063:004:43


WillyT was a tough opponent for Steamhammer. The choice of zerg builds does not seem strong. I have no idea how the guardian rush won 2 games out of 5.


#12 ecgberht

openinggameswinsfirstlast
11HatchTurtleLurker10%11
11HatchTurtleMuta757%8148
12HatchTurtle10%119119
9PoolLurker4791%0149
9PoolSpeed2576%3142
AntiStyx_9Pool475%121141
HiveRush875%89140
Over10HatchBust2282%2135
OverpoolLurker3591%4147
9 openings15083%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Factory3926%79%2416%79%28%26%
Fast rush3020%80%2114%90%10%40%
Heavy rush5637%89%2315%87%18%39%
Naked expand64%67%64%83%17%33%
Proxy85%75%53%60%0%50%
Safe expand85%100%85%75%0%50%
Unknown--5537%87%0%0%
Worker rush32%67%85%62%0%33%
timing#medianearlylate
my combat unit1502:182:113:17
my gas1501:551:457:07
enemy scout1441:270:305:18
enemy combat unit1483:011:556:53
enemy gas985:052:518:43
enemy air unit495:584:0119:55
enemy cloaked unit315:545:217:15
game duration1508:363:5222:29
gas steal#medianearlylatewinsenemy gas
gas steal decision222:171:485:4586%5:10
gas steal success132:232:005:5185%5:24
none or failed137---83%5:03
gas steal killed133:272:176:10


Ecgberht is a tricky opponent. If it knew how to defeat fast lurker builds, it would score a lot higher against Steamhammer.


#13 eggbot

openinggameswinsfirstlast
2HatchHydraBust367%3286
3HatchHydra786%70105
3HatchHydraBust367%52103
3HatchHydraExpo8100%15137
3HatchLateHydras+1683%1375
3HatchLingBust26100%12121
4HatchBeforeGas6100%7149
4HatchBeforeLair11100%16142
5HatchBeforeGas8100%1118
6PoolHide19100%5145
973HydraBust9100%6130
9PoolHide10100%27115
9PoolSunkHatch11100%0138
9PoolSunkSpeed7100%18148
AntiStyx_9Pool6100%8129
OverpoolHide14100%2146
ZvP_3BaseSpire+Den10100%11141
ZvP_3HatchPoolHydra683%30147
18 openings15097%
planpredictedrecognizedaccuracy
countgameswinscountgameswinsgood?
Contain5637%98%3322%100%23%43%
Proxy3523%97%2517%80%14%37%
Turtle5939%95%3725%100%20%31%
Unknown--5537%100%0%0%
timing#medianearlylate
my combat unit1502:261:584:09
my gas1393:432:388:31
enemy scout791:290:3110:17
enemy combat unit326:504:318:59
enemy gas0---
enemy air unit0---
enemy cloaked unit0---
game duration1506:504:0460:00
gas steal#medianearlylatewinsenemy gas
gas steal decision0-----
gas steal success0-----
none or failed150---97%-
gas steal killed0---


EggBot is a cannon bot. Its builds were recognized as Proxy for close cannons, Contain for cannons farther away from zerg bases, or Turtle for distant cannons. Steamhammer tried a variety of openings, discarding one as soon as it had lost a single game because there were others that still scored 100%. Steamhammer understood that EggBot never took gas, so gas steal would gain nothing.


overall

totalZvTZvPZvZZvR
openinggameswinsgameswinsgameswinsgameswinsgameswins
10HatchBurrow186% 186%
10HatchHydra10% 10%
10HatchLing10% 10%
10Pool9Hatch10% 10%
11Gas10PoolLurker4971% 4774% 20%
11Gas10PoolMuta10% 10%
11HatchTurtleHydra3722% 3722%
11HatchTurtleLurker10% 10%
11HatchTurtleMuta1040% 757% 30%
12-11Hatch20% 20%
12-11HatchLing10% 10%
12-12Hatch30% 10% 20%
12Hatch12Pool10% 10%
12HatchTurtle1811% 10% 1712%
12Hatch_4HatchLing20% 20%
12PoolLurker10% 10%
2.5HatchMuta10% 10%
2HatchHydra10% 10%
2HatchHydraBust540% 540%
2HatchLingAllInSpire944% 850% 10%
2HatchLurker10% 10%
2HatchLurkerAllIn20% 20%
2HatchLurkerPure1315% 1315%
2HatchMutaPure10% 10%
2x10HatchAllIn20% 20%
2x10HatchSlow20% 20%
3HatchHydra1155% 1155%
3HatchHydraBust729% 729%
3HatchHydraExpo1267% 1267%
3HatchLateHydras+1956% 956%
3HatchLing6242% 6242%
3HatchLingBurrow2326% 1828% 520%
3HatchLingBust23845% 3845%
3HatchLingExpo30% 30%
3HatchLurker1850% 1656% 20%
4HatchBeforeGas3234% 3234%
4HatchBeforeLair1385% 1385%
4PoolHard714% 520% 20%
4PoolSoft520% 520%
4Scout20% 20%
5HatchBeforeGas1362% 1362%
5HatchPool6083% 5985% 10%
5HatchPoolLing20% 20%
5HatchPoolLingBurrow10% 10%
5PoolHard10% 10%
5PoolHard2Player50% 10% 40%
5Scout20% 20%
6PoolBurrow10% 10%
6PoolHide2095% 2095%
6PoolSpeed30% 10% 20%
6Scout10% 10%
7DroneHatch10% 10%
7HatchSpeed30% 30%
8-8HydraRush20% 10% 10%
8DroneGas1258% 10% 1164%
8Gas7PoolLurker B20% 20%
8Hatch7Pool2223% 1712% 560%
8Hatch7PoolBurrow10% 10%
8Hatch7PoolSpeed10% 10%
973HydraBust1656% 1560% 10%
9Hatch8Pool812% 30% 520%
9HatchExpo9Pool9Gas714% 714%
9HatchMain9Pool9Gas2030% 1638% 20% 20%
9Pool8GasLurker10% 10%
9PoolExpo10% 10%
9PoolHatch40% 40%
9PoolHatchBurrow10% 10%
9PoolHatchSpeed20% 20%
9PoolHatchSpeed7DroneB10% 10%
9PoolHatchSpeedAllInB40% 30% 10%
9PoolHatchSpeedSpire40% 30% 10%
9PoolHatchSpeedSpire210% 10%
9PoolHatchSpire520% 10% 425%
9PoolHide10100% 10100%
9PoolLurker4791% 4791%
9PoolSpeed5866% 5866%
9PoolSpeedAllIn3247% 3050% 20%
9PoolSpire20% 20%
9PoolSpireSlowlings20% 20%
9PoolSunkHatch4372% 1385% 3067%
9PoolSunkSpeed2479% 7100% 1771%
AntiFact_13Pool2536% 2536%
AntiFact_2Hatch20% 20%
AntiFact_Overpool9Gas10% 10%
AntiFactory210% 10%
AntiFactoryHydra10% 10%
AntiStyx_9Pool1090% 475% 6100%
AntiTyrLurker10% 10%
AntiWraith_2Hatch10% 10%
AntiZeal_12Hatch2520% 180% 771%
DefilerRush333% 333%
GuardianRush633% 540% 10%
HiveRush875% 875%
Over10Hatch1030% 60% 475%
Over10Hatch+110% 10%
Over10Hatch11Pool10% 10%
Over10Hatch1Sunk50% 50%
Over10Hatch2Sunk60% 10% 50%
Over10Hatch2SunkHard60% 60%
Over10HatchBurrow10% 10%
Over10HatchBust7139% 2282% 307% 1942%
Over10HatchHydra30% 30%
Over10HatchSlowLings20% 20%
Over10PoolLing10% 10%
OverhatchExpoLing20% 20%
OverhatchExpoMuta80% 80%
OverhatchLateGas40% 40%
OverhatchLing1560% 1560%
Overpool+110% 10%
Overpool2HatchLurker10% 10%
OverpoolBurrow10% 10%
OverpoolHatch10% 10%
OverpoolHide1593% 1593%
OverpoolHydra10% 10%
OverpoolLurker3591% 3591%
OverpoolSpeed2015% 50% 1520%
OverpoolSunk4342% 20% 4144%
OverpoolTurtle16887% 80% 2348% 13799%
OverpoolTurtle 030% 30%
Overpool_3HatchLing40% 10% 30%
Overpool_4HatchLing20% 20%
Proxy8HatchNatural10% 10%
PurpleSwarmBuild20% 20%
QueenRush10% 10%
Sparkle 2HatchMuta10% 10%
Sparkle 3HatchMuta1833% 1145% 714%
UltraRush333% 333%
ZvP_2HatchFakeMuta10% 10%
ZvP_2HatchMuta20% 20%
ZvP_3BaseSpire+Den1283% 1283%
ZvP_3HatchMuta20% 10% 10%
ZvP_3HatchPoolHydra2433% 2433%
ZvP_4HatchPoolHydra20% 20%
ZvP_Overpool3Hatch10% 10%
ZvT_12PoolMuta812% 812%
ZvT_13Pool1644% 1644%
ZvT_2HatchMuta20% 20%
ZvT_3HatchMuta1050% 862% 20%
ZvT_3HatchMutaExpo4078% 4078%
ZvT_7Pool944% 850% 10%
ZvZ_12HatchExpo633% 633%
ZvZ_12HatchMain20% 20%
ZvZ_12Pool10% 10%
ZvZ_12PoolLing1258% 10% 1164%
ZvZ_12PoolLingB30% 30%
ZvZ_12PoolMain333% 333%
ZvZ_Overgas8Pool10% 10%
ZvZ_Overgas9Pool20% 20%
ZvZ_Overpool11Gas4670% 20% 4473%
ZvZ_Overpool9Gas6489% 6489%
ZvZ_OverpoolTurtle11777% 11777%
total179954%45070%75031%45063%14996%
openings played15129130304


This is not all of Steamhammer’s zerg openings! The tournament wasn’t long enough for it to try everything.

AIIDE 2020 - what McRave learned

I got distracted, but I’m back. These tables aren’t what McRave learned exactly, they are what it recorded in its Info files, more like a summary of how McRave played given what it had learned. History files like these are rich with information and I wanted to extract more from them, but this will do for now.

The “opening” tables give McRave’s strategy as it represents it, build-opener-transition (see last post). The “enemy” tables represent the recognized enemy strategy in the same format. I like that the strategies of both sides are represented the same way, it’s elegant. The hierarchical representation has advantages for reacting to enemy strategies: McRave may be able to react to an aspect of its enemy’s plan, or to an enemy strategy that it only partially recognized.

Here’s a sample line from the file ZvZ Microwave Info.txt, the first game of 150, to give a taste of how much information there is.

Won,Destination,28:43,HatchPool,9Pool,LingRush,PoolLair,9Pool,1HatchMuta,4:07,2:45,3:31,1,Zerg_Larva,92,Zerg_Zergling,105,Zerg_Drone,18,Zerg_Overlord,73,Zerg_Mutalisk,36,Zerg_Scourge,30,Zerg_Larva,114,Zerg_Zergling,102,Zerg_Drone,12,Zerg_Overlord,34,Zerg_Mutalisk,14,Zerg_Scourge,4,Zerg_Cocoon,11,Zerg_Devourer


#1 stardust

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchMuta1502%0149
1 openings1502%
enemygameswins
1GateCore,2Zealot,4Gate147%
2Gate,Main,4Gate1351%
2Gate,Main,DT10%
3 openings1502%


I think Stardust does not make dark templar, so the one DT game may be a strategy inference miss. It’s interesting that most of McRave’s wins came when Stardust was recognized as opening with gate-cybercore instead of with two gates.


#2 purplewave

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchMuta1495%0149
PoolHatch,Overpool,3HatchSpeedling10%4545
2 openings1505%
enemygameswins
2Gate,Main,4Gate1446%
2Gate,Main,Corsair30%
2Gate,Main,ZealotRush30%
3 openings1505%


PurpleWave chose to play similarly to Stardust, not quite as successfully.


#3 bananabrain

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchMuta13145%1149
PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchSpeedling1050%0147
PoolHatch,Overpool,3HatchSpeedling944%24131
3 openings15045%
enemygameswins
1GateCore,2Zealot,Corsair2075%
1GateCore,2Zealot,DT862%
2Gate,Main,4Gate10%
2Gate,Main,Corsair3811%
2Gate,Main,DT425%
2Gate,Proxy,ZealotRush1050%
FFE,Forge,5GateGoon1747%
FFE,Forge,NeoBisu2462%
FFE,Forge,Speedlot1354%
FFE,Forge,Unknown20%
FFE,Forge,ZealotArchon1100%
FFE,Gateway,Speedlot10%
FFE,Nexus,5GateGoon425%
FFE,Nexus,NeoBisu786%
14 openings15045%


McRave’s plans were about equally successful, but it chose to go with mutalisks much more often than zerglings. I think that’s strategically correct, because BananaBrain is susceptible to the occasional ling bust but will play safely if zerg repeats it too often. Otherwise, BananaBrain is unpredictable as always. As I understand it, McRave does not try to directly predict the enemy strategy but only reacts to what it scouts, so unpredictability can confuse UCB but nothing worse.


#4 dragon

openinggameswinsfirstlast
HatchPool,12Hatch,2HatchMuta6018%0148
HatchPool,12Hatch,2HatchSpeedling30%24129
PoolHatch,12Pool,2HatchMuta190%3149
PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchMuta6728%1147
PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchSpeedling1100%4747
5 openings15021%
enemygameswins
2Rax,Expand,Unknown20%
2Rax,Main,1FactTanks20%
2Rax,Main,Academy30%
2Rax,Main,Unknown2722%
2Rax,Proxy,1FactTanks10%
2Rax,Proxy,Unknown20%
RaxCC,1RaxFE,1FactTanks1010%
RaxCC,1RaxFE,5FactGoliath4518%
RaxCC,1RaxFE,Unknown1258%
RaxFact,Unknown,5FactGoliath1436%
RaxFact,Unknown,Unknown250%
Unknown,Unknown,2Fact617%
Unknown,Unknown,Unknown234%
Unknown,Unknown,WorkerRush1100%
14 openings15021%


Dragon is the first opponent to push McRave into exploring most of its available strategies. Notice McRave only played PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchSpeedling once (about a third of the way through the tournament) even though it won, and even though PoolHatch and Overpool was its preferred stem. It shows a strong preference for mutalisk play.


#6 microwave

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PoolHatch,12Pool,2HatchMuta1963%1127
PoolHatch,12Pool,2HatchSpeedling1457%21118
PoolLair,9Pool,1HatchMuta11484%0146
3 openings14779%
enemygameswins
HatchPool,12Pool,1HatchLurker1100%
HatchPool,12Pool,2HatchLing6100%
HatchPool,12Pool,3HatchMuta667%
HatchPool,12Pool,Unknown1377%
HatchPool,4Pool,LingRush250%
HatchPool,9Pool,LingRush2857%
HatchPool,9Pool,Unknown10%
HatchPool,Unknown,2HatchLing2186%
HatchPool,Unknown,3HatchLing1100%
HatchPool,Unknown,Unknown6100%
PoolHatch,12Pool,2HatchLing2100%
PoolHatch,12Pool,3HatchMuta10%
PoolHatch,12Pool,Unknown12100%
PoolHatch,4Pool,LingRush2100%
PoolHatch,9Pool,2HatchLing1100%
PoolHatch,9Pool,LingRush2100%
PoolHatch,Unknown,2HatchLing3100%
PoolHatch,Unknown,Unknown475%
PoolLair,9Pool,1HatchMuta3100%
PoolLair,9Pool,Unknown3100%
PoolLair,Unknown,Unknown1100%
Unknown,12Pool,3HatchLing1100%
Unknown,12Pool,3HatchMuta450%
Unknown,12Pool,Unknown967%
Unknown,4Pool,LingRush1100%
Unknown,9Pool,LingRush367%
Unknown,9Pool,Unknown475%
Unknown,Unknown,1HatchHydra1100%
Unknown,Unknown,3HatchMuta1100%
Unknown,Unknown,Unknown4100%
30 openings14779%


McRave’s play was similar against Microwave and Steamhammer: It chose the same builds in roughly similar proportions, and it found the opponent’s strategies to be highly diverse and difficult to recognize (notice all the Unknown values).


#7 steamhammer

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PoolHatch,12Pool,2HatchMuta3348%2149
PoolHatch,12Pool,2HatchSpeedling2255%1144
PoolLair,9Pool,1HatchMuta9561%0148
3 openings15057%
enemygameswins
HatchPool,12Pool,1HatchHydra10%
HatchPool,12Pool,1HatchLurker2100%
HatchPool,12Pool,1HatchMuta1100%
HatchPool,12Pool,2HatchLing4100%
HatchPool,12Pool,3HatchMuta250%
HatchPool,12Pool,Unknown825%
HatchPool,9Pool,2HatchLing617%
HatchPool,9Pool,3HatchMuta20%
HatchPool,9Pool,LingRush1233%
HatchPool,9Pool,Unknown875%
HatchPool,Unknown,1HatchHydra2100%
HatchPool,Unknown,2HatchLing888%
HatchPool,Unknown,2HatchMuta1100%
HatchPool,Unknown,Unknown4100%
PoolHatch,12Pool,1HatchLurker1100%
PoolHatch,12Pool,2HatchLing1100%
PoolHatch,12Pool,Unknown580%
PoolHatch,9Pool,2HatchLing250%
PoolHatch,9Pool,LingRush786%
PoolHatch,9Pool,Unknown10%
PoolHatch,Unknown,2HatchLing1100%
PoolHatch,Unknown,Unknown20%
PoolLair,12Pool,1HatchMuta650%
PoolLair,9Pool,1HatchMuta1050%
PoolLair,9Pool,Unknown1100%
PoolLair,Unknown,1HatchMuta714%
PoolLair,Unknown,Unknown3100%
Unknown,12Pool,1HatchHydra540%
Unknown,12Pool,3HatchMuta250%
Unknown,12Pool,Unknown875%
Unknown,9Pool,1HatchHydra250%
Unknown,9Pool,LingRush1100%
Unknown,Unknown,1HatchHydra3100%
Unknown,Unknown,3HatchMuta367%
Unknown,Unknown,Unknown1844%
35 openings15057%

#8 daqin

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchMuta15065%0149
1 openings15065%
enemygameswins
FFE,Forge,5GateGoon580%
FFE,Forge,Speedlot12159%
FFE,Forge,ZealotArchon2100%
FFE,Gateway,Speedlot1100%
FFE,Nexus,Speedlot2190%
5 openings15065%


McRave never varied against DaQin. Why is that? It doesn’t seem to be due to elitism (that is, always choosing a plan that has shown itself “elite” aka good enough), because McRave tried two plans versus UAlbertaBot and both had a higher win rate.


#9 zzzkbot

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PoolHatch,12Pool,2HatchMuta1662%1127
PoolHatch,12Pool,2HatchSpeedling1050%40105
PoolLair,9Pool,1HatchMuta12488%0149
3 openings15083%
enemygameswins
HatchPool,4Pool,LingRush2100%
HatchPool,9Pool,LingRush580%
HatchPool,Unknown,2HatchHydra2100%
HatchPool,Unknown,2HatchMuta1100%
PoolHatch,9Pool,LingRush10%
PoolHatch,Unknown,Unknown2100%
Unknown,4Pool,LingRush3586%
Unknown,9Pool,LingRush6887%
Unknown,9Pool,Unknown967%
Unknown,Unknown,1HatchHydra3100%
Unknown,Unknown,Unknown2268%
11 openings15083%

#10 ualbertabot

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchMuta9980%0149
PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchSpeedling5198%3147
2 openings15086%
enemygameswins
1GateCore,0Zealot,4Gate3093%
1GateCore,0Zealot,DT10100%
1GateCore,Unknown,DT6100%
2Gate,Main,ZealotRush16100%
2Rax,Main,MarineRush989%
2Rax,Main,Unknown2241%
HatchPool,Unknown,1HatchHydra6100%
HatchPool,Unknown,2HatchHydra4100%
HatchPool,Unknown,2HatchLing8100%
HatchPool,Unknown,2HatchMuta4100%
HatchPool,Unknown,Unknown4100%
PoolHatch,Unknown,Unknown1100%
RaxCC,8Rax,Unknown838%
RaxFact,Unknown,Unknown6100%
Unknown,4Pool,LingRush9100%
Unknown,9Pool,LingRush1100%
Unknown,Unknown,1HatchHydra1100%
Unknown,Unknown,Unknown5100%
18 openings15086%

#11 willyt

openinggameswinsfirstlast
HatchPool,12Hatch,2HatchMuta10267%0149
PoolHatch,12Pool,2HatchMuta60%6142
PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchMuta4163%3146
PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchSpeedling10%44
4 openings15063%
enemygameswins
2Rax,Main,1FactTanks10%
2Rax,Main,Academy3100%
2Rax,Main,MarineRush250%
RaxCC,1RaxFE,1FactTanks9349%
RaxCC,1RaxFE,5FactGoliath10%
RaxCC,1RaxFE,Unknown786%
RaxCC,Unknown,Unknown20100%
Unknown,Unknown,2Fact333%
Unknown,Unknown,Unknown2085%
9 openings15063%

#12 ecgberht

openinggameswinsfirstlast
HatchPool,12Hatch,2HatchMuta8387%0149
HatchPool,12Hatch,2HatchSpeedling2979%12142
PoolHatch,12Pool,2HatchMuta60%11133
PoolHatch,12Pool,2HatchSpeedling3100%3032
PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchMuta1650%1113
PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchSpeedling13100%27101
6 openings15079%
enemygameswins
2Rax,Expand,Unknown1883%
2Rax,Main,Academy10%
2Rax,Main,MarineRush10%
2Rax,Main,Unknown1947%
2Rax,Proxy,Unknown786%
RaxCC,1RaxFE,1FactTanks1100%
RaxCC,1RaxFE,Unknown3985%
RaxCC,8Rax,Unknown2090%
RaxCC,Unknown,Unknown2181%
RaxFact,Unknown,2Fact1100%
RaxFact,Unknown,2PortWraith10100%
RaxFact,Unknown,Unknown7100%
Unknown,Unknown,Unknown540%
13 openings15079%


Ecgberht is a tricky opponent. I think McRave tried every plan that was enabled—mostly with success, to be sure.


#13 eggbot

openinggameswinsfirstlast
PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchMuta10100%18148
PoolHatch,Overpool,2HatchSpeedling14099%0149
2 openings15099%
enemygameswins
2Gate,Proxy,ZealotRush1989%
CannonRush,Unknown,Unknown16100%
Unknown,Unknown,Unknown115100%
3 openings15099%