6 May 2022 - nuke
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Suppose Putin does pop a nuke, despite what nobody will call a high
redisincentivization potential? Then what?
A. Cruise missile strikes on armaments factories in Russia, that
should be safe.
B. Two! Four! Six! Eight! Who do we obliterate?
Everyone! Everyone! Yaaaaaaaay!
clue:
On the one hand, we want to deter further nukes. We want an answer that
Russia will perceive as painful but not escalatory. On the other hand,
neither Ukraine nor Russia will accept a compromise end to the war
before they are exhausted. A Russia facing defeat is more likely to lash
out, so (counterintuitively) we benefit from stretching out the war. Our
action should help exhaust Russia without a large immediate effect on
the war. Option A is my best idea so far. I hope that actual experts can
think of a better one.
give me a clue so sweet and true