8 June 2017 - gradual fiasco
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I predict there will be no sudden robot revolution. We know how to
design machines that we control completely (we barely know any other
kind). But in the end, the player with more bandwidth has more power;
see Silvio Berlusconi. Machines have far more communication bandwidth
than humans, who can process perceptual data at a high rate but can
only learn a few bits per second from it, and then lose it all when they
die. As this century runs, machines will surpass human knowledge and
decision-making ability in more and more areas. It will slowly become
a mistake to rely on human judgment, first at the steering wheel and
later in the parliament. And I’ve seen the accident rates for both, so
I’m all in favor.