8 June 2017 - gradual fiasco

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I predict there will be no sudden robot revolution. We know how to design machines that we control completely (we barely know any other kind). But in the end, the player with more bandwidth has more power; see Silvio Berlusconi. Machines have far more communication bandwidth than humans, who can process perceptual data at a high rate but can only learn a few bits per second from it, and then lose it all when they die. As this century runs, machines will surpass human knowledge and decision-making ability in more and more areas. It will slowly become a mistake to rely on human judgment, first at the steering wheel and later in the parliament. And I’ve seen the accident rates for both, so I’m all in favor.

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