5 September 2018 - the Singularity 3

Well, no. Actually the bacteria grow in an S-shaped curve toward a maximum population, slowing down as they exhaust resources. The S curve emerges under very general conditions of change under limitations, and since technology is limited by things like thermodynamics and the speed of light, technological progress must also follow an S curve. The hard question is, what happens in the middle of the curve when accelerating progress imperceptibly begins to slow and our planning assumptions turn upside down? Also, did it happen last week, or is it not for another 400 years?